Oil falls as US gasoline rises ahead of OPEC+ meet
Published: 02:11 PM,Nov 28,2024 | EDITED : 06:11 PM,Nov 28,2024
The crude oil terminal Kozmino on the shore of Nakhodka Bay near the port city of Nakhodka, Russia. — Reuters
SINGAPORE: Oil prices drifted lower on Thursday after a surprise jump in US gasoline inventories, with investors focusing on this weekend's OPEC+ meeting to discuss oil output policy.
Brent crude futures fell by 20 cents, or 0.27 per cent, to $72.63 per barrel by 0717 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 21 cents, or 0.29 per cent, at $68.52 a barrel.
Trading is expected to be light due to the US Thanksgiving holidays starting on Thursday.
US gasoline stocks rose 3.3 million barrels in the week ending on November 22, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, countering expectations for a small draw in fuel stocks ahead of record holiday travel. Slowing fuel demand growth in top consumers China and the United States has weighed heavily on oil prices this year, although supply cuts from OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with Russia and other allies, have limited the losses.
OPEC+, which pumps about half the world's oil, will meet on Sunday. Two sources from the producer group told Reuters on Tuesday that members have been discussing a further delay to a planned oil output hike due to have started in January.
A further deferment, as expected by many in the market, has mostly been factored into oil prices already, said Suvro Sarkar, energy sector team lead at DBS Bank.
'The only question is whether it's a one-month pushback, or three-month, or even longer,' he said.
'That would give the oil market some direction. On the other hand, we would be worried about a dip in oil prices if the deferments don't come.'
OPEC+ had previously said it would gradually roll back oil production cuts with small increases over many months in 2024 and 2025.
Brent and WTI have lost more than 3 per cent each so far this week, under pressure from Israel's agreement to a ceasefire deal with Lebanon's Hezbollah group. The ceasefire started on Wednesday and helped ease concerns that the conflict could disrupt oil supplies from the Middle East region.
Market participants are uncertain how long the break in fighting will hold, with the broader geopolitical backdrop for oil remaining murky, analysts at ANZ Bank said.
Oil prices are undervalued due to a market deficit, the heads of commodities research at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley warned in recent days.
They also pointed to a potential risk to Iranian supply from sanctions that might be adopted under US President-elect Donald Trump. — Reuters
Brent crude futures fell by 20 cents, or 0.27 per cent, to $72.63 per barrel by 0717 GMT, while US West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down 21 cents, or 0.29 per cent, at $68.52 a barrel.
Trading is expected to be light due to the US Thanksgiving holidays starting on Thursday.
US gasoline stocks rose 3.3 million barrels in the week ending on November 22, the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) said on Wednesday, countering expectations for a small draw in fuel stocks ahead of record holiday travel. Slowing fuel demand growth in top consumers China and the United States has weighed heavily on oil prices this year, although supply cuts from OPEC+, which groups the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries with Russia and other allies, have limited the losses.
OPEC+, which pumps about half the world's oil, will meet on Sunday. Two sources from the producer group told Reuters on Tuesday that members have been discussing a further delay to a planned oil output hike due to have started in January.
A further deferment, as expected by many in the market, has mostly been factored into oil prices already, said Suvro Sarkar, energy sector team lead at DBS Bank.
'The only question is whether it's a one-month pushback, or three-month, or even longer,' he said.
'That would give the oil market some direction. On the other hand, we would be worried about a dip in oil prices if the deferments don't come.'
OPEC+ had previously said it would gradually roll back oil production cuts with small increases over many months in 2024 and 2025.
Brent and WTI have lost more than 3 per cent each so far this week, under pressure from Israel's agreement to a ceasefire deal with Lebanon's Hezbollah group. The ceasefire started on Wednesday and helped ease concerns that the conflict could disrupt oil supplies from the Middle East region.
Market participants are uncertain how long the break in fighting will hold, with the broader geopolitical backdrop for oil remaining murky, analysts at ANZ Bank said.
Oil prices are undervalued due to a market deficit, the heads of commodities research at Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley warned in recent days.
They also pointed to a potential risk to Iranian supply from sanctions that might be adopted under US President-elect Donald Trump. — Reuters