Opinion

To address climate change, look beyond pledges

Rumaitha al Busaidi
 
Rumaitha al Busaidi
COP29 in Baku served as a sobering reflection on the widening gap between climate commitments and actionable results, leaving many to question whether global leaders fully comprehend the urgency of the crisis at hand. While the long-overdue operationalisation of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement marked a significant achievement, the broader outcomes of the conference were profoundly underwhelming.

The pledge of $300 billion annually by 2035 for mitigation and adaptation efforts was swiftly condemned by developing nations as grossly insufficient—a mere fraction of the immediate $1.3 trillion experts assert is needed to confront the escalating climate emergency.

Amidst widespread disappointment, the final Article 6 framework stands out as a critical advancement, offering a structured approach to global carbon markets. The establishment of rigorous standards for verifying emission reductions, preventing double-counting, and creating a centralised registry represents a meaningful step forward in international cooperation. For the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) nations, this framework transcends environmental concerns, presenting tangible opportunities for economic diversification and enhanced regional collaboration. The region's abundant renewable energy resources, financial expertise, and robust infrastructure position it uniquely to execute large-scale projects—such as expansive renewable energy installations, cutting-edge carbon capture technologies, and ambitious reforestation initiatives—that can generate high-quality carbon credits for international trade.

Evidence of the GCC's potential alignment with Article 6 is already visible. Oman's Environment Authority is drafting its policy framework for carbon markets, while Saudi Arabia and the UAE are investing heavily in renewable energy and sustainable development projects. A unified regional effort could amplify these individual initiatives, bolstering the credibility and impact of carbon market projects and attracting significant international investment to the region.

However, the cautious optimism surrounding Article 6 cannot overshadow the broader concerns underscored at COP29. The $300-billion financial commitment, much of it structured as loans rather than grants, has been criticised for exacerbating the debt burdens of developing countries instead of providing equitable, accessible funding. This approach has intensified frustrations over the inherent inequities in global climate negotiations, where nations least responsible for greenhouse gas emissions disproportionately bear the brunt of climate impacts.

For the GCC, engaging with Article 6 offers a pragmatic pathway to contribute meaningfully to global emissions reductions while addressing local economic and environmental priorities. Yet, the limitations exposed by the broader COP29 outcomes highlight a critical need to reassess reliance on existing mechanisms. Critics contend that the conference exemplified the diminishing effectiveness of traditional global negotiations, casting doubt on the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) process's ability to deliver the transformative changes urgently required.

As the international community looks ahead to COP30 in Belém, Brazil, there is a growing consensus that bold, innovative approaches must be explored. Whether through alternative funding strategies, the formation of agile coalitions, or the development of new governance models, the severity of the climate crisis demands a fundamental rethinking of strategies. While the operationalisation of Article 6 is a positive development, it also underscores the imperative for comprehensive systemic change rather than incremental adjustments.

COP29 illuminated both the potential avenues for progress and the profound challenges embedded within the current climate framework. For countries within the GCC and beyond, the task extends beyond merely activating these mechanisms; it necessitates active participation in reimagining and reshaping global climate governance. Addressing the multifaceted threats of climate change will require more than pledges—it will demand decisive, collaborative, and innovative action to build a future that is sustainable, just, and equitable for all.