Opinion

Middle East countries' currency strength

 
The country with the strongest currency in the world is the Kuwaiti Dinar (KWD), followed second by the Bahraini Dinar (BHD), third by the Omani Rial (OMR), and fourth by the Jordanian Dinar (JOD). The World Bank classifies Kuwait and Oman as high-income economies and Bahrain and Jordan as upper-middle-income economies. The stability and strength of their currencies are a testament to the robustness of their economies and the political stability they enjoy.

These countries have managed to maintain a delicate balance of stable governance, which has not only sustained investor confidence but also bolstered the value of their currencies.

These nations tend to have well-managed economies with low inflation rates. This keeps the purchasing power of their currency strong. Oil wealth and stable economies make them attractive to foreign investors. This inflow of capital further strengthens their currencies.

The global investment landscape is thus paradoxical, with these countries boasting the world's strongest currencies, a deviation from the conventional association of strong currencies with established and advanced economies.

The fundamental principle of supply and demand primarily determines the value of a currency. When the demand for a currency outstrips its supply, its value will naturally rise. Conversely, if there is excess supply compared to demand, its value will correspondingly decrease. This basic economic principle is at the heart of currency valuation, and understanding it is critical to comprehend the paradox of strong currencies in Middle East countries.

Most of these Middle East countries possess massive oil reserves, so when the oil prices are high, the exports will skyrocket. The economic prowess of these Middle East nations is not solely a result of their vast oil reserves. It's their unique economic strategies that truly set them apart.

As oil prices surge, these currencies witness a boost in export revenue, thereby augmenting their foreign reserves. The surge in demand for their currency from international oil buyers is a crucial driver of their currency strength. These countries hold massive reserves of oil and gas, which are in high demand globally. This gives them a solid export base and brings in significant foreign currency.

While the strength of their currencies may make imports cheaper, it can pose significant challenges to the export competitiveness of non-oil goods produced in these countries. In the international market, the exchange rate can make their exports relatively expensive, potentially hampering their global trade and economic growth. This could also stifle their diversification endeavors beyond the oil sector, a crucial aspect of long-term sustainable growth for these countries.

Another aspect to remember is that reliance on a pegged currency can expose these economies and make them vulnerable to external shocks. The decline in oil prices and fluctuations in pegged currency value can also indirectly influence currency strength and stability.

The role of their currency peg mechanism, a key strategy they employ, is also significant. Unlike free-floating currencies, which are subject to market forces, these countries peg their currency to a stable currency like the US dollar or a basket of currencies. This means that the value of their currency is directly linked to the value of the currency they peg to.

This peg acts as an anchor, safeguarding against sharp fluctuations and devaluations, thereby ensuring exchange rate stability. This stability not only attracts foreign direct investment but also maintains investor confidence, bolstering the strength of the pegged currency. This unique interplay of oil reserves, currency pegs, and currency strength is a fascinating aspect of these countries.

In conclusion, the combination of stable economies, fixed exchange rates, political stability, historical factors, and effective economic policies contributes to the strength of the currencies of Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, and Jordan. These factors ensure these currencies remain highly valued and stable globally. The massive oil wealth and currency peg mechanism fuel the robust Middle East currencies. This is similar to a two-edged sword, with the advantages of import affordability and global currency strength. However, limited expert competitiveness and vulnerability to external shocks are also drawbacks.

Over a decade, these countries have aggressively strategized their diversification vision through investment in knowledge-based industries, manufacturing, tourism, and hospitality sectors, free trade agreements, export incentives, workforce upskilling, and a focus on research and development.

These countries have successfully embarked on strategically utilizing their oil revenue to fuel longer economic diversification and reduce dependency on a single resource to build a robust and sustainable pathway for economic growth and export competitiveness in the global marketplace.